Earth system stabilisation

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Earth System Stabilisation

It is a remarkable fact that life on Earth has persisted in an unbroken chain for at least 2 or 3 billion years out of the 4.5 billion years of Earth's existence. It appears that the environmental conditions on Earth have never, not even once during this immense interval of time, become so unfavourable as to wipe out every trace of life. Given that all life requires liquid water and hence temperatures between 0° and 100°C (or thereabouts, depending on pressure, salinity, etc), this raises the interesting question as to how the planetary environment has been maintained in a habitable state for so long. Why is it that neither temperature nor any other environmental variable has ever in this time deviated so far from the biological comfort zone as to render the whole planet infertile?

Luck may have played a large role (see Anthropic Principle), as may have the incredible ability of evolution to adapt organisms to their environments. Some tenacious microbes may conceivably have persisted in out-of-the-way niches during environmental collapses, only to emerge and repopulate the rest of the planet afterwards. This would help explain the ubiquity of DNA amongst all living organisms, as well as the similarity between living and ancient fossil stromatolites.

However, another possibility is that stabilising feedback processes intrinsic to the Earth System have helped to keep the planet's environment under control, and have opposed potential swings in environmental conditions. The Jmodels featured here allow some insights into some of these automatic processes which have kept the planetary environment in check. Five negative feedback processes are incorporated in the different models, one in each model:

(a) phytoplankton growth and ocean phosphate:

(b) nitrogen-fixer growth and ocean N:P ratio:

(c) diatom growth and ocean silicate:

(d) carbonate compensation and ocean carbonate:

(e) Earth heat emission and Earth temperature: black-body radiation

The properties that these negative feedbacks endow on Earth System behaviour, and the degree to which they impart stability to the Earth environment can be analysed with the different models in several ways:

(1) comet simulations:

(2) time-variable river inputs: Follmi and fast follmi

(3) instantaneous perturbations:

(4) pulse addition experiments: and fossil fuel scenarios

(5) volcanic eruptions:

(6) randomised initial conditions:

The models in this website focus on negative, stabilising, feedbacks. We also know that there are many positive, destabilising feedbacks in the Earth System. These include, for instance, the postulated Clathrate Gun Hypothesis and the ice-albedo feedback whereby melting of snow reveals dark ground underneath which absorbs more of the Sun's rays leading to yet further warming and ice melting. The behaviour of the Earth System and the history of Earth climate emerges from both the negative and positive feedbacks. Although the focus here has been on causes of stability, it should be kept in mind that the Earth System also contains many processes that promote instability.

Taken altogether, these models give some insights into some different ways in which the Earth's environment may have been automatically, unconsciously, kept in balance. They may have contributed to the tenacity of life on Earth over the last few billion years.